New peace proposal between the US and Russia: Where is Ukraine?

peaceA new peace or negotiation proposal allegedly drawn up between the United States and Russia has recently been featured in international media. The proposal, which is supposed to present a framework for a possible end to the war in Ukraine, has sparked strong reactions – both because the premises could put Ukraine in a weak position, and because it shows that the country itself has had no real influence in the process.

Ukraine is not involved in the negotiations

One of the most fundamental challenges with the proposal is that Ukraine has neither participated in the talks nor been involved in the preparation of the plans. This raises serious questions about legitimacy: how can a peace agreement be fair if it is drawn up without the party that is actually fighting for its sovereignty and territorial integrity sitting at the table? Norwegian Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide has also criticized the premises of the proposal, describing it as unreasonable to demand that Ukraine give up areas that it still controls.

The fact that Ukraine has not been involved means that the plan in practice appears more like a dictate than a negotiation. For a peace solution to be both lasting and legitimate, Ukrainian authorities must have real influence over the terms that are set, both in terms of territory, security and future political status.

What is being proposed?

According to reports, the proposal implies, among other things, that Ukraine could have to give up parts of its territory, limit its military capacity and not seek membership in NATO. The United States, acting as a co-negotiator, argues that the plan should provide “a path to peace.” Critics, however, point out that the premises could in practice reward Russian aggression and weaken Ukraine’s strategic position.

The proposal thus appears problematic: it puts a country that has been subjected to invasion and occupation in a vulnerable position, while at the same time attempting to control the outcome by external actors.

Historical context

This is not the first time that external actors have tried to broker peace between Ukraine and Russia. After the invasion in 2022, Ukraine has repeatedly tried to find a path to peace through direct negotiations with Russia. Meetings have been held in Turkey and other neutral countries, but the talks have often been halted by new Russian offensives or the Kremlin’s unwillingness to make real compromises. History shows that negotiations without the participation of the attacked country risk ending in unilateral solutions that reward aggression.

Risk of escalation

Several analysts and security experts point out that a peace agreement without Ukraine's active participation is not only unfair, but could also have destabilizing consequences. Russia has historically shown that it acts strategically: the Kremlin wants to avoid direct military confrontation with NATO, but uses warfare against Ukraine as a means of pressure and a show of force. If Ukraine is pressured to give up territory or security guarantees, it could set dangerous precedents in the region.

Costs and international support

Since the start of the war, the US and the EU have supported Ukraine both militarily and economically. Critical voices claim that the costs for Europe and the US will be too great if the conflict is prolonged, but it is also important to remember that a solution that undermines Ukraine's sovereignty could be even more expensive - not only economically, but also strategically. Europe's security architecture and the principles of international law are at stake.

Ukraine has already shown strength

Despite enormous challenges, Ukraine has achieved important military and political victories:

  • They have prevented Russia from taking Kyiv.
  • They have recaptured areas such as Kherson and parts of Kharkiv.
  • The Russian Black Sea Fleet has been limited in its operational capabilities.

This shows that Ukraine is not a passive actor, but a country with real military and political capacity. A peace agreement must therefore reflect this, not override it.

What do the Norwegian authorities say?

The Norwegian Foreign Minister, Espen Barth Eide, has been clear that it is unreasonable to demand that Ukraine give up areas that they still control.  – A ceasefire must be based on the situation on the ground and not unacceptable demands from Russia. Peace must be based on international law and respect for Ukraine's territorial integrity. It is unreasonable to demand that Ukraine give up areas, says the Norwegian Foreign Minister, Espen Barth Eide.

Norway and other European countries, therefore, have a responsibility to work to ensure that Ukraine's interests are safeguarded in negotiations. It is not just about finding peace, but about securing a peace that is based on international law and the principle that a country cannot be forced to pay for its own freedom.

Conclusion

Peace is desirable, but not on unreasonable premises. The proposal from the US and Russia is problematic because Ukraine has not participated in the talks, and because the premises could weaken the country's sovereignty and security. For an agreement to be legitimate, Ukraine must sit at the table, have real influence and ensure that any peace reflects their rights, their security and their future as an independent nation.

As Norwegian and European citizens, it is important to follow suit, demand justice and support Ukraine in the fight to defend its country. A peace agreement that does not take into account Ukraine's rights is not peace - it is a reward for aggression.

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